Looks like it’s expected to strengthen to a hurricane before making landfall.
WTNT32 KNHC 032038
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
500 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018
…HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST AND STORM SURGE WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD…
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 50 MI…85 KM WSW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
ABOUT 445 MI…715 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Storm Surge Warning has been extended eastward to Dauphin
A Hurricane Warning has been issued from the Mouth of the Pearl
River to the Alabama-Florida Border. This warning replaces the
Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning for this area.
The Tropical Storm Warning for the Upper Florida Keys and from
Golden Beach to Chokoloskee, including Florida Bay, has been
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
- Shell Beach to Dauphin Island
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
- West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
- East of Dauphin Island to Navarre
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
- Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
- Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach
- West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
- Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radars near latitude 26.2 North,
longitude 82.6 West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near
17 mph (28 km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is
expected over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the center
of Gordon will move farther away from the southwestern coast of
Florida early this evening, and move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico tonight and Tuesday. The center of Gordon will approach the
central Gulf Coast within the warning area late Tuesday or Tuesday
night, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours, and
Gordon is expected to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along
the central Gulf Coast.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches)
based on earlier reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama…3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay…2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River…2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border…1 to
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida Keys, and South
Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches
are possible over the southern Florida peninsula.
Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, and
southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, with isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches through late Thursday.
These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue for the next few
hours in the warning area across southwestern Florida. Tropical
storm conditions are expected within portions of the central Gulf
Coast warning area by late Tuesday, with hurricane conditions
expected late Tuesday or Tuesday night in the hurricane warning
TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
across the southern and west-central Florida Peninsula.
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.