Today I would like to start a discussion on whether or not the US aviation industry is recovering.
Here is what I know and whats facts from my many friends in the aviation industry and pilots also. Here is a few things why I think the Airline Industry is recovering by the airlines I know.
Southwest Airlines… I have a few friends who work at SWA as both ramp agents and as pilots and recently they have seen a drastic increase of people flying in their airplanes. Out of my home station, i talked with a friend who says his flights are the fullest they have been in 2 months with about 100 people per flight vs 25 people per flight 2 months ago. That is a big increase in just a few months. Also I have another friend who works the ramp at SWA and said he put over 100 people on all of his flights from San Diego in a 16 hour shift. He told me he has seen a big increase in people traveling with bags and pax count.
American Airlines: According to a captain friend of mine who flies for AA, his flights have been three quarters full since the begining of may. He also is back on his normal 4 day trips and 5 days off vs being on for 2 days and off 7 days. That to me says people are getting out and wanting to travel since states are starting to open back up. Also, I have a family member work for AA as a ramp agent and he says that flights are coming in full out of dallas and chicago to name a few places as well as half full from charlotte. He also says that bag counts are heavier than they have been in 2 months.
Will this upwards trend continue for the airlines and will they recover?
Now for the facts:
Allegiant Airlines: THIS IS FACT! Allegiant plans on running 95% of there flight schedule a very big increase from a few months ago when they were running roughly 25 percent of there flights. If Allegiant plans on running 95 percent of there flights, I expect other airlines to follow and do the same. However this is subject to change.
Based on these trends and what i am told, I do believe that the US airline Industry is recovering and that while it will take time, airlines will get back to being 100 percent.
Comments and Opinions welcomed… I just ask please keep it on track.