It shouldnt die out in the near future because there is an astonishing 650,000 pilots needed in the next 20 years to keep the airlines alive, this could mean cheaper flight schools, more government sponsorship and more scholarships from the airlines.
However there is also the possibility that these demands wont be met and airlines could cease operations which wouldn’t benefit economy’s as in many country’s, tourists provide a lot of income for local businesses and restaurants. But the other side of this is new means of transportation such as the Hyperloop which has been mentioned already.
I dont think aviation will ever die. Think of it as a car or a train. They arnt used for passengers but for cargo. Aviation will continue in the way it needs. Whether that be strictly cargo or passengers.
We’ll see aviation for a long time. I think of moments like just not to long ago we took a helicopter and sling loaded a lawn mower to the other side of a bay, while Drones and unmanned vehicles may do that one day, I don’t think in our time we’ll see it happen
Humans worked so hard for so long to make aviation work. As far back as ancient civilizations we have evidence they wanted to fly. Would be a shame for that to come and go in such a relitively short period of time, but I personally think it gas a good few decades left in it…
I would say the opposite aviation will expand in the future, maybe even onto other planets ( if it will be human piloted is questionable though).
Aviation is better in most scenarios then train / hyperloop as the air surrounding the whole earth is literally the rail and the only infrastructure required is at point A and B, unlike a train which requires the rail to be built.
Well, it depends. Have aviation ever replaced cars? No. Why should the Hyperloop system replace aviation?
Which would it be more cost effective to ship overnight on? a Hyperloop or 747? Probably the 747, as it just costs less. Until I see $69 transatlantic fares on Hyperloops, I don’t think it will. Also, a Hyperloop seems to stifle competition. If company A builds a tunnel, then Company B needs to either lease space in the tunnel or build their own, in addition to buying the hyperloop cars in the first place. It takes money to make money, and an airline would actually be substantially cheaper to start up then a Hyperloop.
I personally don’t think this is in the near future. I think eventually there’ll be more advanced aviation feats that will take the place of today’s aviation, but I think the industry as a whole will be around for a while.
I think I can calm you down. I am just coming from a conference regarding mega trends and aviation/airport future looks& feel and operation of airports… Aviation is an enormous growth industry today 4 billion people are travelling by air every year. In 2026 it will be 8 billion. Airports will give you a different more digital experience in the future, there will be commercial drone operation be integrated in our aviation system. for aviation as a fast mass transportation there won’t be any alternative soon.
Maybe… I got a lot of free time on my hand for 2 weeks… idk what else to do so I thought I’ll try to take everyone’s mind off the new update… because it’s going to take its time… and we need to stop stop arguing About that so I gave u guys this to argue about 🙃.
One thing is for sure- trains can’t end the aviation industry but they can give strong competition in the domestic market if those mad fast trains proposed by Elon musk do come in service… we just have to wait and see 👀
Great topic! Dont forget though that Elon also believes that his BFR made by SpaceX will also be implamented as well as the hyperloop & supposedly could get you across the world in ~30 minutes with claimed “better emissions than current aircraft”. Keep up the great work! 👍🏻
Train don’t have the same ability as planes. You can to almost anywhere in the world but a train is confined to tracks which need to be laid across vast stretches of land. Hyperloops would be even harder to lay the track for. Plus unless you have about a trillion quid to rent enormous tunnel boring machines capable of withstanding huge pressures. Then have track layer machines capable of high pressures. And then all the other things needed to make a tunnel going from for example from London to New York is not possible. Hyperloops would also be confined to only a few places. If you wanted to go from lets say Aberdeen to Lisbon but a huperloop only connects from Aberdeen to London you would then either take a slow train that we currently have or fly. But by the time you get to the airport from the train station it will be a while with london traffic then you would have the standard long wait at the airport that only Av geeks enjoy. And by the time you have done all this you would probably have been flying from the start. Yes this S only a short distance though and flying a longer distance would male more sense but even still it would a very small number of places you could go. The final thing I can think of is noise. Yes planes are loud but there at 30,000ft plus most of the time. Trains are on the ground. Imagine if the Concorde flew past you at supersonic speeds when you were in a wee Cessna 150. You would go deaf. (I know that’s quite a bad way to describe it) A train flying past you like at supersonic speeds would probably make you deaf