China's Aviation Is Recovering - China Eastern Plans To Resume 70%-80% Of Flights

I thought we could use some good news, so here we go.


China’s aviation market is gradually recovering.

Flights and hotels are seeing increased demand following massive cuts due to the coronavirus.

In the week of March 1, bookings for hotels went up 40% compared to the previous week and bookings for domestic China flights leaped by 230%.

Bookings for domestic China flights in June soared by 250% in the last week of February compared to the previous week.

“The overall hotel operating rate in major cities across the country is projected to reach 90% by the end of March,” Tongcheng-Elong said, citing data from its affiliate Beijing Zhuzher Information Technology. For airlines, “major sources of passengers were Sichuan, Chongqing, Shaanxi and Henan, as people returned from those areas to their workplaces in coastal areas following the extended Spring Festival holiday period.”


Over in China’s flight capacity…

Domestic capacity is beginning to recover while international capacity is still down compared to January.

For the week of March 16, there will be 10.8 million available seats compared to 8.7 million seats for the week of March 9.


Airline capacity this week compared to next week:

  • Shandong will increase capacity by 104.4% which is approximately 285,000 more seats.
  • Juneyao Airlines is adding 176,000 seats which is a 94.5% increase.
  • China Eastern’s increasing by 156,000 seats or a 14.9% increase.
  • China Southern will have 1.44 million available seats next week, or a 6.3% increased compared to this week.
  • Air China’s capacity will be around 1.1 million available seats or a 16.2% increase.
  • Xiamen Air will increase capacity by 6.8% next week or a total of 667,700 available seats.


In total, there will be about 66,000 flights in China next week compared to the 53,000 flights this week.

At its absolute minimum during the peak of COVID-19 in China for the week of February 17, there were only about 28,000 flights.


Update 4/8/20:

Wuhan, the “epicenter” of COVID-19, is officially opening its roads and airport to the public again. There are 271 scheduled flights today with 131 departures and 140 arrivals.

Xiamen Air flight 8095 from Hangzhou is expected to be the first flight to arrive in Wuhan.


4/30/20:

Sources/Images

Hotel info: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-06/travel-demand-is-rebounding-in-china-as-virus-worry-recedes
Graphs/Flight data: https://www.routesonline.com/news/29/breaking-news/290239/analysis-chinas-recovery-continues/
China Southern A380: https://www.airplane-pictures.net/photo/1096966/b-6137-china-southern-airlines-airbus-a380/
Xiamen Air 787: https://www.jetphotos.com/photo/8923236
Wuhan Resumption: https://twitter.com/FATIIIAviation/status/1247642545003233280

Amidst all the negative news of capacity cuts and groundings across the world, the origin of the coronavirus’ market is beginning to recover. Hopefully we will begin to see more capacity increases in other countries.

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Heck yeah, It’s about time!

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I guess people are taking advantage of the cheap prices that demand is going up.

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Only problem is it really can’t fully recover till the rest of the world does the same

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Not shocked here, typically when the hype begins to die down and people get better life goes back to normal.

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Exactly, but at this rate the domestic capacity is on it’s way to being restored.

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Finally a rebound!

Thank goodness!

I am also surprised that Royal Air Maroc is resuming the flight to Daxing!

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Yea, but I think China is far from clear, sure they’ve leveled off, but it’s been confirmed that there are now cases in China that were imported from elsewhere. Realistically no ones completely in the clear till everybody’s in the clear. Sure countries will be able to cut this virus off at different rates, but as long as it’s still spreading somewhere it will at this point be going everywhere to an extent. We’re definitely in it for the long haul now

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Great to hear that their might be light at the horizon, as far away as it feels in the moment. Thanks for sharing this somewhat (more) positive outlook!

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Well, that’s good to see however we believe the virus has already done too much to be taken back, RIP FlyBe.

As China (kinda) starts to recover, it’s only just starting in Europe, Asia, America and Australia.

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China’s levelling off, Europe is rising and especially and sadly Italy. Isolation, quarantine and intense hand washing can only really stop the spread of Covid-19. Once people are getting cured faster than infected, I can see a quick destruction of the virus.

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Honestly surprised by this as well. Will be interesting to see the initial load factors on this route.

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China Southern has returned the A380 to service and placed it on the Guangzhou to Los Angeles route.

However, there are reportedly 0 outbound pax and over 400 inbound on some flights…

China’s domestic capacity is continuing to recover and is approaching 2017 levels.

image
@CAPA_Aviation


United is looking at returning to China with a once-weekly Shanghai flight.

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Nice. I hope this continues on in our side of the world. Let’s hope a slowdown in growth and a drop in cases as soon as possible.

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Update 4/8/20:

Wuhan, the “epicenter” of COVID-19, is officially reopening its roads and airport to the public again. There are 271 scheduled flights today with 131 departures and 140 arrivals.

Xiamen Air flight 8095 from Hangzhou is expected to be the first flight to arrive in Wuhan.

Per @FATIIIAviation

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Well that brings me a lot of hope

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Domestic flights will easily recover in countries with big domestic markets e.g China. The main issue is that in countries with a small domestic market, the aviation sector will have to struggle until the international market fully recovers.

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